US10Y
4.68
-0.51% (-0.02)
Updated 01:59 AM
What the news says
US10Y yields respond directly to Fed rate expectations. Market pricing of an 82% hike probability signals elevated expectations for higher short-term rates, which typically affects longer-duration fixed-income valuations and currency carry dynamics for USD-denominated instruments.
Updated 01:59 AM
Medium confidence07/25, 08:07 AM
U.S. home prices have risen 551% since 1980, outpacing wage growth and inflation, driven by limited supply, lower interest rates, population growth, and rising construction costs.
U.S. home prices have risen 551% since 1980, outpacing wage growth and inflation, driven by limited supply, lower interest rates, population growth, and rising construction costs.
Affected assets
FirstSquawk
07/25, 08:07 AM
Related updates
ZeroHedge · 07/25, 02:06 AM
Event soonStocks caught up with bonds, implying a convergence of asset performance.
Barchart · 07/25, 02:37 PM
High impactMarket pricing shows an 82% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 01:50 PM
High impactUS jobless claims dropped to 187,000 last week, the lowest level in over 50 years since September 1969.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 09:13 AM
High impactThe Saudi-Led Coalition announced it will continue necessary measures to safeguard maritime security and the Kingdom's interests.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 08:33 AM
High impactIsraeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will travel to the U.S. on Monday to meet President Trump at the White House on Tuesday.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 08:23 AM
High impactHouthi missile and drone launches from Yemen targeted Saudi Arabia, according to WSN.
finnhub-NVDA · 07/25, 08:20 AM
High impactKevin Warsh vowed to bring a regime change to the Fed, likely adding volatility to the bond market and creating headwinds for growth and tech stocks.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 08:08 AM
Market reactionInflation-adjusted U.S. home prices have surpassed the 2006 housing bubble peak, with ownership costs soaring and annual income needed to afford a typical home reaching $109,152 in June.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 08:00 AM
Market reactionJapanese bond investors are primed to react to any changes at the Government Pension Investment Fund as the country shifts to expansionary fiscal policy.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 07:59 AM
Market reactionJapan's holdings of U.S. Treasuries fell by $96 billion over the past three months to $1.14 trillion, the lowest level since April 2025, highlighting reduced overseas demand for U.S. government debt.
finnhub-MSFT · 07/25, 05:00 AM
Market reactionA preview of the week ahead highlights Big Tech earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon, the Fed decision, and consumer confidence data.
LiveSquawk · 07/25, 03:04 AM
High impactMorningstar DBRS changed the trends on Belgium to Negative and confirmed its credit ratings at AA.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 02:50 AM
High impactBrazil stated that new US tariffs will affect 23.1% of Brazilian exports.
FirstSquawk · 07/25, 02:41 AM
High impactTrump stated he is in no hurry over Iran despite what is said about the election.
financialjuice · 07/25, 02:31 AM
High impactCFTC positioning data for the week ended July 21st was released.
financialjuice · 07/25, 02:28 AM
Market reactionTrump said Saudi Arabia must join the Abraham Accords as part of a nuclear deal.
Barchart · 07/25, 02:14 AM
High impactThe U.S. Treasury buys back $2 billion of its own debt.
ZeroHedge · 07/25, 02:09 AM
Market reactionGoldman Sachs identifies key levels in rate moves versus equity returns: a ~40bps move in 10-year yields to 4.76% and a ~40bps move in 2-year yields to 2.54% as signals for equity pain.
finnhub-MSFT · 07/25, 02:07 AM
Market reactionReal risk-free bond yields have reached levels not seen in years, with 30-year real yields near 3%, last seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis.