US10Y
4.68
-0.51% (-0.02)
Updated 01:59 AM
Why it is moving
Current market pricing reflects consensus expectations around Fed monetary policy for the September meeting. Shifts in hike probability typically correlate with inflation data, employment reports, and Fed communications in the preceding weeks.
Updated 01:59 AM
Medium confidenceDriver data is partial
Some drivers have no confirmed source evidence yet, read those as context, not confirmation.
Main drivers
Fed rate hike expectations embedded in near-term pricing
No confirmed source evidence yet.
Market repricing of terminal rate and policy pathway
No confirmed source evidence yet.
Forward guidance interpretation
No confirmed source evidence yet.
Levels to watch
Support
0.00
Resistance
4.70
Recent range: 0.00–4.70.
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