A Reuters poll found nearly all surveyed economists expect the Fed to skip a rate hike in October and raise rates in December, with 94 of 100 expecting rates held at 3.75%-4.00% in October and all 100 expecting a December hike; Mizuho's Alex Pelle said the Fed may eventually hike by 50bps rather than not hiking at all.

Jin1010/20, 07:52 PM

Figures as quoted by Jin10

Market impact

Which way this story pushes each asset. An inference from the story, not a measured move.

US10Y
No clear push
WeeksMedium confidence
Near-unanimous expectations of a Fed hold-then-hike path are already reflected in current yields

What could change this

A deviation from the expected path, such as a 50bps December hike instead of a smaller move, could push yields and the dollar higher.

101.75+0.12%vs previous close

-0.01%

since this story

Measured from the price when this story was posted to the latest stored price, so it can lag the live price.