BNY Mellon will begin testing tokenized U.S. Treasuries on a private blockchain by year-end and expand its settlement network to cover more international trading hours.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated that lowering interest rates may not occur if inflation remains elevated in 2026.

Kevin Warsh and the FOMC will not raise interest rates in 2026, contrary to current market pricing.

Fed funds futures and betting markets now price in nearly 2 full rate hikes by December 2026, with probabilities rising in tandem with oil prices.

WTI crude oil surged 7% intraday, breaking above $93/barrel; Brent crude rose over 5% to $95.31/barrel.

Goldman Sachs executive Kaplan suggests Fed may raise rates as early as September 2026 if inflation remains elevated, with potential follow-up hikes afterward.

JPMorgan strategist says the Federal Reserve is unlikely to adjust rates this year, having removed dovish language from its policy statement.

CITIC Securities maintains view that Federal Reserve will hold policy rates unchanged through 2026 year-end, citing geopolitical easing and political pressure on Fed Chair Waller.

Gundlach notes Fed Chair Waller's maiden appearance showed hawkish stance beyond expectations, signaling price stability focus means no rate cuts as markets hoped early year.

Fed Chair Warsh reports FOMC members are evenly split on whether interest rates should be lower or higher.

Fed Chair Warsh plans a comprehensive review of Fed communications methods including press conferences, dot plot, and meeting schedules by year-end.

Fed Chair Warsh states that monetary policy is restrictive for real estate but not for financial markets.

Fed Chair Warsh states that a balance sheet working group will review the Federal Reserve's bond holdings.

Short-term interest rate futures currently show higher probability of Fed rate hike in September than maintaining current rates.

Goldman Sachs vice chairman Kaplan says the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by September if inflation stays elevated.

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held his first policy meeting, keeping interest rates unchanged and introducing a shortened policy statement and reduced dot plot.

BlackRock portfolio manager warns against overestimating the significance of the flattening yield curve following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates unchanged.

US consumer prices expected to reach 3-year high of 4.2% in May due to tariffs and Iran war-driven oil price increases.

US Treasuries gained as oil prices fell, despite weak demand at the first of three longer-term debt auctions this week.