S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash

03:30 PM

High impactGBPActivity

Released

Forecast

51.5

51.9

Actual

51.5

Actual vs. forecast

08/21/2026

Forecast 53.9Actual 53.2

08/21/2026

Forecast 51.5Actual 51.5

08/21/2026

Forecast 51.8Actual 52.8

08/21/2026

Forecast 52Actual 54.1

08/21/2026

Forecast 55.1Actual 55.1

Result: In line

beat

40% · 2 occurrences

-0.04% – +0.03%

in line

40% · 2 occurrences

-0.09% – +0.02%

miss

20% · 1 occurrences

Historical reaction is context, not a prediction.

Pattern across the last 5 occurrences

Date

Country

Move

08/21/2026

miss

+0.07%

08/21/2026

in line

-0.09%

08/21/2026

beat

-0.13%

08/21/2026