Event Replay

GDP (YoY) (Q2)

Medium impactEURGrowth

EUR/USD

GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

Price reaction

Slight reaction

Strongest average +0.09% at +1h.

+0.25%+0.13%0.00%-0.13%-0.25%

Release+30m+1h

Pooled across 5 releases of the same kind — United States 3 · European Union 2.

Past occurrences

Pattern across the last 5 occurrences

Date

Country

Move

07/30/2026

miss

+0.07%

Not enough data yet to claim a repeating pattern.

The measurements above are real, but too few releases have happened to draw a rule from them. This data builds up as the event repeats — we never invent a pattern in the meantime.