Balance of Trade

01:00 PM

High impactEUR

Released

Forecast

17.4€

19.3€

Actual

15.4€

Actual vs. forecast

09/08/2026

Forecast 16Actual 21.3

09/03/2026

Forecast -90Actual -88.6

08/14/2026

Forecast -2.2€Actual 8.6€

08/07/2026

Forecast 17.4€Actual 15.4€

08/04/2026

Forecast -73$Actual -73.3$

Result: Miss

beat

60% · 3 occurrences

-0.08% – +0.05%

miss

40% · 2 occurrences

-0.07% – +0.01%

Historical reaction is context, not a prediction.

Pattern across the last 5 occurrences

Date

Country

Move

09/08/2026

beat

-0.08%

09/03/2026

beat

+0.02%

08/14/2026

beat

-0.02%

08/07/2026

miss