07:30 PM
Released
Forecast
201K
Previous
188K
Actual
197K
07/30/2026
07/23/2026
07/16/2026
07/09/2026
07/02/2026
06/25/2026
Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of new applications for unemployment benefits filed during the past week. Markets watch this indicator because it provides an early signal about layoff trends and the health of the labor market.
beat
18% · 2 occurrences
-0.08% – +0.10%
miss
82% · 9 occurrences
-1.12% – +0.85%
Historical reaction is context, not a prediction.
Pattern across the last 11 occurrences
Date
Move
07/30/2026
miss+0.06%
07/23/2026
miss-0.26%
07/16/2026
miss-0.74%
07/09/2026
miss+0.24%
07/09/2026
miss+0.02%
07/02/2026
miss+0.03%
06/18/2026
07/02/2026
+0.07%
06/25/2026
miss+0.47%
06/25/2026
miss0.00%
06/18/2026
beat+0.53%
06/18/2026
beat+0.12%