07:30 PM
Released
Forecast
0.6%
Previous
0.7%
Actual
0.8%
07/16/2026
06/17/2026
Core retail sales (year-on-year) measures the change in total revenue from retail stores, excluding volatile items such as food, energy and automobiles, compared to the same period last year. Markets watch this indicator because it reflects consumer spending trends – a key driver of economic growth – without being distorted by these volatile components.
beat
67% · 2 occurrences
+0.02% – +0.05%
miss
33% · 1 occurrences
Historical reaction is context, not a prediction.
Pattern across the last 3 occurrences
Date
Move
07/16/2026
miss-0.74%
06/17/2026
beat+0.14%
06/17/2026
beat+0.03%